Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 16, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Azteca
We said: Club America 2-1 Puebla
Club America's recent dominance of this fixture will surely give them the belief that they can get the job done here. While we expect anything but a straightforward affair, we are backing the home side to emerge triumphant come the sound of the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result |
| Club America | Draw | Puebla |
64.19% ( -0.45) | 20.44% ( 0.15) | 15.37% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.26) |
| 55.76% ( -0.03) | 44.24% ( 0.03) |
| 33.38% ( -0.03) | 66.62% ( 0.03) |
| 86.93% ( -0.14) | 13.06% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.35% ( -0.29) | 39.65% ( 0.29) |
| 58.53% ( 0.39) | 41.47% ( -0.39) |
