Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
