Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Club Tijuana
43.06% ( -0.03)	26.06% ( 0.09)	30.89% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.7% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.46% (

-0.36)

51.54% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.66% (

-0.31)

73.34% (

0.32)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

-0.17)

23.78% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.07% (

-0.25)

57.93% (

0.25)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.14% (

-0.21)

30.87% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.85% (

-0.25)

67.15% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Puebla 43.06%

Club Tijuana 30.89%

Draw 26.05%

Puebla	Draw	Club Tijuana
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.06%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.89%