Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 71.95%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.