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Liga MX
May 8, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Universitario

Tigres
1 - 0
Puebla

Cordova (56')
Vigon (40'), Reyes (70'), Aquino (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (48'), Ferrareis (49'), Gularte (75'), Gonzalez (79'), Gonzalez (79+79')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Tigres and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Club Leon 3-1 Tigres
Thursday, May 4 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Puebla 5-2 Tijuana
Sunday, April 30 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 69.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 11.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
TigresDrawPuebla
69.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 18.7% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 11.73% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.47% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (0.294 0.29)44.78% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.86% (0.28299999999999 0.28)67.14% (-0.283 -0.28)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.29% (0.088000000000008 0.09)11.71% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.17% (0.187 0.19)36.83% (-0.188 -0.19)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.63% (0.249 0.25)47.36% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.24% (0.186 0.19)82.76% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Tigres 69.56%
    Puebla 11.73%
    Draw 18.7%
TigresDrawPuebla
2-0 @ 12.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 11.89% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.82% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.65% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.03 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 69.56%
1-1 @ 8.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.56% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 18.7%
0-1 @ 4.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.32% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 11.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Club Leon 3-1 Tigres
Thursday, May 4 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Club Leon 3-0 Tigres
Monday, May 1 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 2-1 Club Leon
Wednesday, April 26 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Puebla
Friday, April 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-0 Tigres
Monday, April 17 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-2 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 5-2 Tijuana
Sunday, April 30 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Puebla
Friday, April 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Puebla
Saturday, April 15 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Toluca
Saturday, April 8 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-2 Puebla
Saturday, April 1 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 0-4 Atlas
Saturday, March 18 at 1am in Liga MX


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