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Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 1
Puebla

Gularte (58' og.)
Madrigal (42'), Silvera (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (70')
Ferrareis (35'), Fernandez (57')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, April 9 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Toluca
Saturday, April 8 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawPuebla
44.13% (0.578 0.58) 25.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 30.38% (-0.575 -0.57)
Both teams to score 54.27% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)49.39% (0.217 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (-0.195 -0.2)71.43% (0.196 0.2)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (0.179 0.18)22.33% (-0.178 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (0.269 0.27)55.81% (-0.268 -0.27)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (-0.503 -0.5)30.13% (0.503 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.73% (-0.604 -0.6)66.27% (0.60599999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 44.13%
    Puebla 30.38%
    Draw 25.49%
NecaxaDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.56% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 30.38%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, April 9 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-0 Santos Laguna
Saturday, April 1 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Necaxa
Monday, March 13 at 3.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Tigres
Saturday, March 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Queretaro
Saturday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Toluca
Saturday, April 8 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-2 Puebla
Saturday, April 1 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 0-4 Atlas
Saturday, March 18 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-0 Guadalajara
Saturday, March 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 2-4 Puebla
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-2 Puebla
Monday, February 27 at 1.05am in Liga MX


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