Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Mar 18, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Caliente
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Club Tijuana | Draw | Toluca |
36.23% ( -0.01) | 26.23% ( -0) | 37.54% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0) |
| 48.83% ( 0) | 51.16% ( -0) |
| 26.99% ( -0) | 73.01% ( -0) |
| 72.73% ( -0) | 27.26% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.3% ( -0.01) | 62.69% ( 0) |
| 73.49% ( 0) | 26.51% ( -0.01) |
