Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Club Tijuana	Draw	Toluca
42.03% ( 0.05)	24.6% ( -0.01)	33.37% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.53% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.62% (

0.04)

44.38% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.25% (

0.04)

66.75% (

-0.04)

Club Tijuana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.81% (

0.04)

21.18% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.94% (

0.06)

54.06% (

-0.06)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.27% (

-0)

25.73% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.34% (

-0)

60.66%

Score Analysis

Club Tijuana 42.03%

Toluca 33.37%

Draw 24.6%

Club Tijuana	Draw	Toluca
2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.03%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.6%	1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.37%