Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.53) 
-0.54) 
