Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Mar 30, 2023 at 4.05am UK
Estadio La Corregidora
Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (57'), Barbieri (85')
Mendoza (16'), Escamilla (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
We said: Queretaro 0-2 Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul seem to have gained some momentum from their string of home victories, as well as tightening up defensively, and given that they are facing the lowest-scoring team in the league, we do not anticipate them to be challenged much against the Queretaro attack.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Queretaro | Draw | Cruz Azul |
37.29% ( 1.04) | 26.75% ( 0.04) | 35.96% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( -0.15) |
| 46.64% ( -0.18) | 53.35% ( 0.18) |
| 25.1% ( -0.15) | 74.89% ( 0.15) |
| 72.31% ( 0.53) | 27.69% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.75% ( 0.68) | 63.24% ( -0.68) |
| 71.52% ( -0.73) | 28.48% ( 0.73) |
