Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
0.5) 
-0.57) 
