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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 13, 2023 at 3.15am UK
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Juarez
1 - 1
Necaxa

Molina (68')
Medina (12'), Salcedo (20'), Mora (45+1'), Talavera (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendez (52')
Esquivel (14'), Formiliano (68'), Gonzalez (90+6')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Juarez
Sunday, March 5 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Tigres
Saturday, March 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
JuarezDrawNecaxa
48.07% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 26.57% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 25.36% (0.095000000000002 0.1)
Both teams to score 47.57% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55% (0.101 0.1)56.45% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (0.081 0.08)77.45% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (0.0040000000000049 0)23.52% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)57.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.2% (0.141 0.14)37.8% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (0.135 0.13)74.57% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 48.06%
    Necaxa 25.36%
    Draw 26.56%
JuarezDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.06% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 48.06%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 25.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Juarez
Sunday, March 5 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Juarez
Saturday, February 25 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-0 Club Leon
Saturday, February 18 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-0 Juarez
Wednesday, February 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 3-1 Santos Laguna
Sunday, February 12 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-3 Juarez
Saturday, February 4 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Tigres
Saturday, March 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Queretaro
Saturday, February 25 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, February 18 at 11.06pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 3-1 Pumas
Thursday, February 16 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, February 11 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, February 4 at 1am in Liga MX


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