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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 11, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla
1 - 0
Guadalajara

Ferrareis (40')
Silva (18'), Ferrareis (53'), Robles (64'), Garcia Banuelos (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (70')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pumas 2-4 Puebla
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Santos Laguna
Sunday, March 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
PueblaDrawCD Guadalajara
35.33% (0.432 0.43) 27.3% (0.189 0.19) 37.37% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)
Both teams to score 49.92% (-0.552 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.39% (-0.711 -0.71)55.61% (0.714 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (-0.585 -0.59)76.77% (0.586 0.59)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)29.97% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)66.08% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (-0.703 -0.7)28.72% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.888 -0.89)64.55% (0.89100000000001 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 35.32%
    CD Guadalajara 37.36%
    Draw 27.3%
PueblaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 10.37% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 35.32%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.234 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.79% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Pumas 2-4 Puebla
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-2 Puebla
Monday, February 27 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-3 Cruz Azul
Saturday, February 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-0 Puebla
Wednesday, February 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 3-1 Mazatlan
Saturday, February 11 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-0 Puebla
Friday, February 3 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Santos Laguna
Sunday, March 5 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 1-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, February 26 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, February 19 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Tijuana
Thursday, February 16 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, February 12 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-1 Queretaro
Sunday, February 5 at 11pm in Liga MX


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