Monterrey
2 - 0
Toluca

Gallardo (41'), Funes Mori (74')
Andrada (77'), Vegas (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cristante (33'), Ortega (40'), Rigonato Rodrigues (86'), Pardo (90+3'), Lopez (90+4')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 17.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Monterrey	Draw	Toluca
59.23%	23.49%	17.28%

Both teams to score 45.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59%

53.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.06%

74.94%

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.24%

17.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.55%

48.45%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.5%

44.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.47%

80.53%

Score Analysis

Monterrey 59.22%

Toluca 17.28%

Draw 23.48%

Monterrey	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 13.65% 2-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 5.51% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.38% Total : 59.22%	1-1 @ 11.05% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.48%	0-1 @ 6.4% 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.56% Total : 17.28%