Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 30, 2023 at 2.05am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Pumas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Pumas win it was 1-2 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
| Result |
| Monterrey | Draw | Pumas |
67.61% ( 0.47) | 18.61% ( -0.2) | 13.77% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.03) |
| 60.69% ( 0.33) | 39.3% ( -0.33) |
| 38.36% ( 0.35) | 61.64% ( -0.35) |
| 89.31% ( 0.21) | 10.68% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 65.42% ( 0.48) | 34.58% ( -0.48) |
| 59.4% ( -0.17) | 40.6% ( 0.17) |
