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Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 15, 2023 at 4.05am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
1 - 2
Tijuana

Diaz (25' og.)
Orona (86'), Sanchez (90+5'), Bello (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Canelo (14' pen., 81' pen.)
Rodriguez (8'), Diaz (24'), Rodriguez (90+4'), Lopez (90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigres 1-2 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-2 Queretaro
Saturday, April 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
MazatlanDrawClub Tijuana
45.06% (0.148 0.15) 26.88% (0.004999999999999 0) 28.05% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.66% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)56.02% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.89% (-0.073 -0.07)77.11% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (0.033999999999992 0.03)24.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (0.046999999999997 0.05)59.33% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.167 -0.17)35.32% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.176 -0.18)72.08% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 45.06%
    Club Tijuana 28.05%
    Draw 26.88%
MazatlanDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 12.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.06%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 28.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tigres 1-2 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 9 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-1 Mazatlan
Monday, April 3 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-2 Club Leon
Saturday, March 25 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-1 Necaxa
Saturday, March 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, March 12 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 3-1 Cruz Azul
Saturday, March 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-2 Queretaro
Saturday, April 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 4-0 Tijuana
Sunday, April 2 at 2.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 3-3 Toluca
Saturday, March 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-2 Tijuana
Monday, March 13 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Atlas
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-0 Pachuca
Monday, February 27 at 3.05am in Liga MX


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