Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.