Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.95%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.