Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monterrey in this match.
