Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
