Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 55.56%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 1-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Puebla
55.56% ( -0)	20.98% ( -0.01)	23.47% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.84% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.93% (

0.06)

34.07% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.06% (

0.07)

55.94% (

-0.07)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.65% (

0.02)

12.35% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.83% (

0.04)

38.17% (

-0.04)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

0.05)

27.17% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43% (

0.06)

62.57% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Toluca 55.56%

Puebla 23.47%

Draw 20.98%

Toluca	Draw	Puebla
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 55.56%	1-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.98%	1-2 @ 5.96% 0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 23.47%