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Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Feb 16, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
3 - 1
Pumas

Mendez (2', 6'), Oliveros (84')
Silvera (36'), Poggi (39'), Mendez (67'), Dominguez (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Freire (40')
Aldrete (64'), Ortiz (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, February 11 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 4-2 Pumas
Sunday, February 12 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawPumas
40.66% (-1.084 -1.08) 26.33% (-0.159 -0.16) 33.01% (1.244 1.24)
Both teams to score 52.6% (0.909 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (0.98099999999999 0.98)52.02% (-0.98 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.25% (0.841 0.84)73.75% (-0.84099999999999 -0.84)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.12 -0.12)25.2% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (-0.166 -0.17)59.94% (0.167 0.17)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (1.326 1.33)29.67% (-1.326 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (1.58 1.58)65.72% (-1.58 -1.58)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 40.65%
    Pumas 33.01%
    Draw 26.33%
NecaxaDrawPumas
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.1% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.65%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.231 0.23)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.186 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.201 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.153 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.132 0.13)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: America 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, February 11 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Tijuana
Saturday, February 4 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Necaxa
Monday, January 30 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, January 22 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Necaxa
Tuesday, January 17 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-3 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, January 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 4-2 Pumas
Sunday, February 12 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 2-2 Atlas
Sunday, February 5 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 0-0 Pumas
Saturday, January 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 4-1 Club Leon
Sunday, January 22 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-0 Pumas
Sunday, January 15 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 2-1 Juarez
Sunday, January 8 at 6pm in Liga MX


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