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Liga MX | Gameweek 17
May 1, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio La Corregidora

Queretaro
0 - 1
Pachuca

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arango (26' pen.)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Queretaro
Monday, April 24 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, April 23 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pachuca in this match.

Result
QueretaroDrawPachuca
25.84% (-0.302 -0.3) 23.86% (-0.329 -0.33) 50.3% (0.63200000000001 0.63)
Both teams to score 56.29% (0.806 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.79% (1.194 1.19)45.21% (-1.193 -1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.45% (1.134 1.13)67.55% (-1.132 -1.13)
Queretaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (0.396 0.4)31.33% (-0.394 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (0.457 0.46)67.69% (-0.456 -0.46)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (0.706 0.71)18.03% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.08% (1.194 1.19)48.92% (-1.192 -1.19)
Score Analysis
    Queretaro 25.84%
    Pachuca 50.3%
    Draw 23.86%
QueretaroDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 6.56% (-0.267 -0.27)
2-1 @ 6.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.81% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.52% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.84%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.294 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.277 -0.28)
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.29% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.49% (0.151 0.15)
0-3 @ 4.73% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.115 0.12)
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.079 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 50.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Queretaro
Monday, April 24 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-0 Tigres
Monday, April 17 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-2 Queretaro
Saturday, April 8 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-0 Pumas
Monday, April 3 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 2-2 Cruz Azul
Thursday, March 30 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 2-2 Juarez
Monday, March 20 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, April 23 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 4-1 Pachuca
Sunday, April 16 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-4 Pachuca
Monday, April 10 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-2 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 2 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 0-2 Pachuca
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Monterrey
Monday, March 13 at 1.05am in Liga MX


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