Liga MX | Gameweek 17
May 1, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio La Corregidora
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Queretaro and Pachuca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pachuca in this match.
Result |
Queretaro | Draw | Pachuca |
25.84% ( -0.3) | 23.86% ( -0.33) | 50.3% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 56.29% ( 0.81) |
54.79% ( 1.19) | 45.21% ( -1.19) |
32.45% ( 1.13) | 67.55% ( -1.13) |
68.67% ( 0.4) | 31.33% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.31% ( 0.46) | 67.69% ( -0.46) |
81.97% ( 0.71) | 18.03% ( -0.7) |