Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
Santos Laguna	Draw	Pachuca
35.6% ( 1.22)	24.46% ( 0.16)	39.94% ( -1.38)

Both teams to score 59.59% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.77% (

-0.53)

43.23% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.37% (

-0.53)

65.63% (

0.53)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.09% (

0.43)

23.91% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87% (

0.61)

58.13% (

-0.61)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32% (

-0.88)

21.68% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.18% (

-1.36)

54.82% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

Santos Laguna 35.6%

Pachuca 39.94%

Draw 24.45%

Santos Laguna	Draw	Pachuca
2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.06% Total : 35.6%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.45%	1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.94%