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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 10, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna
3 - 0
Cruz Azul

Medina (36'), Fagundez (69'), Munoz (83')
Doria (9'), Mariscal (55'), Fagundez (79'), Munoz (84')
Fagundez (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gutierrez (6'), Lira (45+1'), Gamboa (73'), Huescas (90+5')
Ditta (59')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, March 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 3 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.

Result
Santos LagunaDrawCruz Azul
38.71% (0.064 0.06) 24.7% (-0.126 -0.13) 36.58% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.82% (0.459 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72% (0.593 0.59)44.28% (-0.59 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35% (0.574 0.57)66.65% (-0.57199999999999 -0.57)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (0.298 0.3)22.74% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (0.437 0.44)56.42% (-0.435 -0.44)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.304 0.3)23.86% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.436 0.44)58.05% (-0.435 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Santos Laguna 38.72%
    Cruz Azul 36.58%
    Draw 24.69%
Santos LagunaDrawCruz Azul
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.055 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.72%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 36.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 Santos Laguna
Saturday, March 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-0 Mazatlan
Monday, February 26 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 1-0 Santos Laguna
Thursday, February 22 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 3-0 Santos Laguna
Monday, February 19 at 12.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-3 Tigres
Sunday, February 11 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 3-0 Santos Laguna
Monday, February 5 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, March 3 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, February 25 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 2-3 Cruz Azul
Thursday, February 22 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Tigres
Sunday, February 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, February 11 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 1-3 Cruz Azul
Saturday, February 3 at 1am in Liga MX


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