Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
Result | ||
Santos Laguna | Draw | Cruz Azul |
38.71% ( 0.06) | 24.7% ( -0.13) | 36.58% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.82% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.72% ( 0.59) | 44.28% ( -0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.35% ( 0.57) | 66.65% ( -0.57) |
Santos Laguna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% ( 0.3) | 22.74% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.57% ( 0.44) | 56.42% ( -0.44) |
Cruz Azul Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.14% ( 0.3) | 23.86% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.95% ( 0.44) | 58.05% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Santos Laguna | Draw | Cruz Azul |
2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.72% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.58% |
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