SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Santos Laguna |
44.19% ( 0.4) | 23.26% ( -0.02) | 32.54% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 63.07% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.69% ( -0.04) | 38.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.41% ( -0.05) | 60.59% ( 0.04) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% ( 0.14) | 17.75% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.56% ( 0.25) | 48.43% ( -0.26) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( -0.24) | 23.31% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.73% ( -0.35) | 57.26% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toluca | Draw | Santos Laguna |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.9% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
