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Liga MX | 2nd Leg
Oct 17, 2022 at 1.06am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna
1 - 2
Toluca

Gorriaran (90+7')
Gorriaran (90+1')
Correa (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Meneses (47'), Mosquera (50')
Rodriguez (55')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 4-3 Santos Laguna
Friday, October 14 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-3 Santos Laguna
Friday, October 14 at 1.06am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Santos LagunaDrawToluca
55.72% (-0.41 -0.41) 23.3% (0.224 0.22) 20.98% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 52.27% (-0.448 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26% (-0.728 -0.73)47.74% (0.723 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (-0.675 -0.67)69.93% (0.67 0.67)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.03% (-0.408 -0.41)16.96% (0.403 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94% (-0.723 -0.72)47.06% (0.717 0.72)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.95% (-0.234 -0.23)37.05% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.16% (-0.233 -0.23)73.84% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Santos Laguna 55.72%
    Toluca 20.98%
    Draw 23.3%
Santos LagunaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 11.15% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 55.72%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.187 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.24% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toluca 4-3 Santos Laguna
Friday, October 14 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-0 Mazatlan
Monday, October 3 at 12.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-0 Juarez
Monday, September 19 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 3-3 Santos Laguna
Thursday, September 15 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 3-3 Santos Laguna
Saturday, September 10 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-1 Necaxa
Wednesday, September 7 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-3 Santos Laguna
Friday, October 14 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Juarez
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Queretaro
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, September 17 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Pumas
Sunday, September 11 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 3-1 Toluca
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Liga MX


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