Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santos Laguna | Draw | Toluca |
55.72% ( -0.41) | 23.3% ( 0.22) | 20.98% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.26% ( -0.73) | 47.74% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.07% ( -0.67) | 69.93% ( 0.67) |
Santos Laguna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.03% ( -0.41) | 16.96% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.94% ( -0.72) | 47.06% ( 0.72) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.95% ( -0.23) | 37.05% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.16% ( -0.23) | 73.84% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Santos Laguna | Draw | Toluca |
1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.03% Total : 55.72% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.98% |
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