Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.