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Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 11, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Leon

Club Leon
4 - 0
Pachuca

Moreno (21'), Barreiro (45+2'), Angulo (45+5'), Rubio (90+6')
Frias (24'), Tesillo (53'), Barreiro (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Barreto (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Pachuca
Saturday, July 1 at 2am in Liga MX

We said: Club Leon 1-0 Pachuca

Even though the result did not go their way on matchday one, we expect Leon to come out strong and show how tough they are defensively in this one. Pachuca showed us a lot of promise at times in their opener, but it might take a little more time for them to develop some solid chemistry with all the new faces. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.

Result
Club LeonDrawPachuca
41.73% (1.489 1.49) 25.06% (-0.208 -0.21) 33.21% (-1.276 -1.28)
Both teams to score 56.88% (0.392 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48% (0.653 0.65)46.52% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (0.61 0.61)68.8% (-0.604 -0.6)
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.76% (1.019 1.02)22.24% (-1.013 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.33% (1.505 1.51)55.67% (-1.498 -1.5)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)26.86% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (-0.607 -0.61)62.17% (0.61199999999999 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Club Leon 41.73%
    Pachuca 33.21%
    Draw 25.06%
Club LeonDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.217 0.22)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.207 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.129 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.73%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.323 -0.32)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.283 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Club Leon 1-2 Guadalajara
Tuesday, July 4 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Club Leon
Monday, June 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Club Leon 2-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, June 1 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Club Leon 1-3 Atletico San Luis
Monday, May 8 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 3-1 Tigres
Thursday, May 4 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Club Leon 3-0 Tigres
Monday, May 1 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Pachuca
Saturday, July 1 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 4-4 Santos Laguna (2-4 pen.)
Sunday, May 7 at 2.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 Pachuca
Monday, May 1 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Sunday, April 23 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 4-1 Pachuca
Sunday, April 16 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-4 Pachuca
Monday, April 10 at 1.05am in Liga MX


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