Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
