SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Troyes | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Lens | 7 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 7 | 7 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Lorient |
49.93% ( 0.01) | 25.82% ( -0) | 24.26% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.68% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.52% ( 0.01) | 54.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.16% ( 0.01) | 75.84% ( -0.01) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( 0.01) | 21.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.91% ( 0.01) | 55.09% ( -0.01) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( 0) | 37.7% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.52% ( 0) | 74.48% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.65% Total : 24.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 29 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 68 | 29 | 39 | 66 |
| 2 | Lens | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 60 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Reims | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 39 | 28 | 11 | 46 |
| 8 | Nice | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Lyon | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 10 | Lorient | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | Clermont | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 13 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | NantesNantes | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Brest | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 27 |
| 16 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 26 |
| 18 | Troyes | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 62 | -24 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 21 |
| 20 | Angers | 29 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 64 | -42 | 11 |
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