Lorient have built serious momentum over the past few weeks and we expect their confidence to carry them to a fourth successive victory.
Le Bris has strong options to turn to from the bench should things not be going his side's way, which can not be said for Auxerre, who may succumb to a fourth straight defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
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