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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
LL

Ajaccio
0 - 1
Lorient


Nouri (38'), Gonzalez (47'), El Idrissy (68'), Youssouf (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ouattara (51')
Kone (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 5-2 Lorient
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 1-2 Lorient

Considering that Ajaccio have conceded in every game so far this term, while Lorient have only kept one clean sheet in five outings, we can see both sides having joy in the final third on Sunday. However, the visitors will be viewed as the slight favourites and should do enough to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawLorient
47.05% (0.637 0.64) 28.29% (-0.491 -0.49) 24.66% (-0.144 -0.14)
Both teams to score 42.49% (1.076 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.33% (1.422 1.42)62.68% (-1.418 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.77% (1.024 1.02)82.23% (-1.02 -1.02)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (1 1)26.81% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (1.297 1.3)62.11% (-1.293 -1.29)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.05% (0.69 0.69)41.95% (-0.685 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.61% (0.592 0.59)78.39% (-0.589 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 47.04%
    Lorient 24.66%
    Draw 28.28%
AjaccioDrawLorient
1-0 @ 14.8% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 9.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.188 0.19)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.183 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.108 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 47.04%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 11.24% (-0.61 -0.61)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.329 -0.33)
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-3 Lille
Friday, August 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, August 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-0 Lens
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Ajaccio
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Toulouse
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Lens 5-2 Lorient
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Clermont
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Lorient
Sunday, August 7 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Bordeaux 0-0 Lorient
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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