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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
AA

Troyes
1 - 1
Ajaccio

Porozo (76')
Balde (18'), Ripart (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Idrissy (88')
Kone (16')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 3-2 Troyes
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Ajaccio
Saturday, October 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-2 Ajaccio

Troyes are not playing bad at the moment, but they are looking low on confidence and Ajaccio should have plenty of it after last weekend's win. Not enough to move them above their opponents, but we think L'ours will earn their second consecutive win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
TroyesDrawAjaccio
41.99% (-0.291 -0.29) 29.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 29% (0.208 0.21)
Both teams to score 43.4% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.07% (-0.188 -0.19)62.93% (0.189 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.58% (-0.136 -0.14)82.42% (0.13600000000001 0.14)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-0.255 -0.25)29.63% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (-0.311 -0.31)65.67% (0.312 0.31)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (0.065999999999995 0.07)38.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (0.062000000000001 0.06)75.09% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 41.99%
    Ajaccio 28.99%
    Draw 28.99%
TroyesDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.81%
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 41.99%
1-1 @ 13.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.35% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 28.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 3-2 Troyes
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Reims
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Troyes
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Troyes
Friday, September 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-4 Troyes
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Ajaccio
Saturday, October 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-3 Clermont
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Nice
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Lorient
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-0 Ajaccio
Wednesday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1


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