SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Benfica |
46.68% ( -0.08) | 23.42% ( 0.01) | 29.9% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.1% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.69% ( -0.01) | 40.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.31% ( -0.01) | 62.68% ( 0.01) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.45% ( -0.03) | 17.55% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.91% ( -0.06) | 48.09% ( 0.06) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( 0.04) | 25.89% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% ( 0.06) | 60.88% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 3.9% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 29.9% |
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