SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Auxerre | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Nantes | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 | Troyes | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | 17 | 13 |
| 2 | Lens | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Marseille | 5 | 8 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-3 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Nantes win it was 2-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
11% ( -0.93) | 15.89% ( -0.97) | 73.11% ( 1.9) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.67% ( 2.18) | 33.32% ( -2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.9% ( 2.45) | 55.1% ( -2.45) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.99% ( -0.07) | 41.01% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.44% ( -0.06) | 77.56% ( 0.06) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.13% ( 0.95) | 7.87% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.13% ( 2.35) | 27.87% ( -2.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.39% Total : 11% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.52) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.89% | 0-2 @ 10.42% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 8.84% ( 0.22)0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.56)1-3 @ 7.88% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 5.62% ( 0.38)1-4 @ 5.01% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 2.86% ( 0.31)1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0.28)2-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.15)0-6 @ 1.21% ( 0.18)2-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.12)1-6 @ 1.08% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.28% Total : 73.1% |
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