SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
40.44% ( -0.03) | 22.12% ( 0.04) | 37.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.85% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.69% ( -0.2) | 31.31% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.25% ( -0.24) | 52.75% ( 0.24) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.6% ( -0.1) | 16.39% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.96% ( -0.18) | 46.04% ( 0.18) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( -0.09) | 17.65% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.73% ( -0.16) | 48.26% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.44% |
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