SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 88.34%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 3.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.64%), while for an Angers win it was 1-2 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Angers |
88.34% ( 0.01) | 7.96% ( -0.01) | 3.7% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.24% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.45% ( 0.06) | 21.55% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.73% ( 0.08) | 40.27% ( -0.08) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.96% ( 0.01) | 3.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.33% ( 0.03) | 13.67% ( -0.03) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.72% ( 0.07) | 51.27% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.47% ( 0.04) | 85.53% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Angers |
| 3-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0)5-0 @ 6.76% ( 0)4-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 3.93% ( 0)6-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.96% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 5.18% Total : 88.33% | 1-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 7.96% | 1-2 @ 1.22% 0-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 3.7% |
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