As bad as the season has been for Angers, they might be due for one on Wednesday against a side who have been equally poor as them, while Ajaccio could be a little shell-shocked after what happened in their previous road outing at Monaco.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
0.19) 
-0.21) 
