While faltering form has seen Lorient slip down the table, facing a side that simply cannot keep the back door shut could be the perfect way to start 2023. Angers are demoralised by recent events and must now host a team that tends to travel well, so their search for a win will go on.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lorient in this match.
0.15) 
-0.1) 
