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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
M

Auxerre
0 - 2
Montpellier


Mensah (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mavididi (62', 80')
Tchato (40'), Leroy (60'), Mavididi (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Niort 0-4 Auxerre
Sunday, January 22 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Montpellier 0-3 Nantes
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 1-1 Montpellier HSC

With both sides looking to end respective losing runs in the league, both may cancel each other out here. Auxerre did take all three points in the reverse fixture back in August though, as four players were sent off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
AuxerreDrawMontpellier HSC
39.91% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 26.99% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 33.1% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.52% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (0.032000000000004 0.03)54.68% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.99% (0.026 0.03)76.01% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17% (0.010999999999996 0.01)26.83% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87% (0.016000000000005 0.02)62.13% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)30.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.25% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 39.91%
    Montpellier HSC 33.1%
    Draw 26.99%
AuxerreDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 39.91%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 33.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Niort 0-4 Auxerre
Sunday, January 22 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Auxerre
Saturday, January 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 0-5 Toulouse
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Auxerre
Sunday, January 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 2-3 Monaco
Wednesday, December 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Auxerre
Sunday, November 13 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-3 Nantes
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 6-1 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Marseille
Monday, January 2 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-2 Montpellier
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Reims
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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