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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade Jean Bouin
R

Angers
1 - 2
Rennes

Salama (53')
Valery (55'), Amadou (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gouiri (43'), Majer (90+2' pen.)
Tait (57'), Theate (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 3-2 Angers
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-2 Lyon
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Angers 1-3 Rennes

We expect Rennes' attacking quality to be too much for Angers to handle on Sunday. It is a meeting between Ligue 1's worst defence and second best attack, making by far the most likely outcome an away win in what should be an entertaining affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 19.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
AngersDrawRennes
19.76% (1.3 1.3) 22.29% (0.309 0.31) 57.94% (-1.611 -1.61)
Both teams to score 53.6% (1.265 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.97% (0.559 0.56)45.02% (-0.562 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62% (0.538 0.54)67.37% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.25% (1.735 1.74)36.74% (-1.738 -1.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.46% (1.696 1.7)73.53% (-1.698 -1.7)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.74% (-0.336 -0.34)15.25% (0.335 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.06% (-0.634 -0.63)43.93% (0.631 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Angers 19.76%
    Rennes 57.93%
    Draw 22.29%
AngersDrawRennes
1-0 @ 5.61% (0.129 0.13)
2-1 @ 5.28% (0.301 0.3)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.178 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.149 0.15)
3-0 @ 0.94% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.76%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 9.91% (-0.482 -0.48)
1-3 @ 6.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.21% (-0.379 -0.38)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.108 0.11)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.92% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.034 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.1% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.1% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 57.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toulouse 3-2 Angers
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 0-3 Marseille
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-1 Angers
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-1 Montpellier
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 5-0 Angers
Saturday, September 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-2 Lyon
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-1 Rennes
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Nantes
Sunday, October 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Rennes
Saturday, October 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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