SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Rennes |
19.76% ( 1.3) | 22.29% ( 0.31) | 57.94% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( 0.56) | 45.02% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( 0.54) | 67.37% ( -0.54) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.25% ( 1.74) | 36.74% ( -1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.46% ( 1.7) | 73.53% ( -1.7) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( -0.34) | 15.25% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.06% ( -0.63) | 43.93% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.76% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.48)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.21)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.93% |
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