Angers' defending at home speaks for itself, as they look far too timid and passive, something that we expect an in-form side like Lens will take advantage of on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
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