Lorient have not won in this fixture in the last seven meetings, but they are currently on their best run of form in years, brimming with confidence.
The injury to Moffi may give Troyes some belief, and they have not been easy to beat in recent weeks, but Lorient may just have the edge in this encounter.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.1) 
