Losing Caqueret ahead of such a crucial period is undoubtedly a huge blow for this Lyon side, but a refreshed Gones outfit still possess the attacking nous needed to keep up their strong goalscoring streak on home soil. While Angers' camp is boosted by a number of key returns, Baticle's men just cannot find the formula for success away from home, and Lyon should warm up for their Europa League quarter-final with all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Angers had a probability of 11.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Angers
69.87%	18.8%	11.33%

Both teams to score 44.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77%

46.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48%

68.52%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.96%

12.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.46%

37.54%

Angers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.02%

48.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.06%

83.94%

Score Analysis

Lyon 69.86%

Angers 11.33%

Draw 18.8%

Lyon	Draw	Angers
2-0 @ 13.21% 1-0 @ 12.48% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 6.66% 4-0 @ 4.93% 4-1 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 2.09% 5-1 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.09% Total : 69.86%	1-1 @ 8.91% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.8%	0-1 @ 4.21% 1-2 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.44% Total : 11.33%