SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Lyon |
20.67% ( -0.56) | 22.62% ( 0.32) | 56.71% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( -1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( -2.15) | 45.22% ( 2.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.43% ( -2.09) | 67.57% ( 2.09) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.06% ( -1.77) | 35.93% ( 1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% ( -1.85) | 72.71% ( 1.85) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.26% ( -0.67) | 15.73% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( -1.25) | 44.83% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.67% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.62% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.45)1-3 @ 6.1% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 2.76% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 56.7% |
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