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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Gerland
LL

Lyon
2 - 1
Lens

Lacazette (23'), Cherki (64')
Lukeba (14')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Machado (39')
Abdul Samed (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Lille (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Lens (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lyon 1-1 Lens

Lyon look as though they are turning a corner with Blanc in charge, but they must claim a first league win at home since October sooner rather than later. Lens have lost all momentum that was carrying them towards a title charge at the start of January and need to ensure they do not allow the sides below them to close the gap even more. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawLens
36.43% (-0.269 -0.27) 25.45% (-0.158 -0.16) 38.12% (0.427 0.43)
Both teams to score 56.13% (0.534 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25% (0.692 0.69)47.74% (-0.693 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (0.634 0.63)69.94% (-0.63499999999999 -0.63)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.17 0.17)25.54% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.232 0.23)60.4% (-0.233 -0.23)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (0.54600000000001 0.55)24.61% (-0.547 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (0.761 0.76)59.12% (-0.761 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 36.43%
    Lens 38.12%
    Draw 25.44%
LyonDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.092 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Lille (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Troyes 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Lyon
Sunday, January 29 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Chambery 0-3 Lyon
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Lens (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Lens
Saturday, January 28 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-3 Lens
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Auxerre
Saturday, January 14 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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