Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.48%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
52.78% ( -0.18) | 20.73% ( 0) | 26.48% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 68.32% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.29% ( 0.16) | 29.7% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.16% ( 0.19) | 50.83% ( -0.19) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.31% ( 0) | 11.68% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.23% ( 0.01) | 36.76% ( -0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.35% ( 0.2) | 22.64% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.72% ( 0.29) | 56.27% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 52.78% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 26.48% |
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