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Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
PL

Bayern
2 - 0
PSG

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.48%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawParis Saint-Germain
52.78% (-0.181 -0.18) 20.73% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.48% (0.176 0.18)
Both teams to score 68.32% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.29% (0.158 0.16)29.7% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.16% (0.192 0.19)50.83% (-0.194 -0.19)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)11.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.35% (0.197 0.2)22.64% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.72% (0.294 0.29)56.27% (-0.297 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 52.78%
    Paris Saint-Germain 26.48%
    Draw 20.73%
Bayern MunichDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.81% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.78%
1-1 @ 8.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.73% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.65% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.38% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.92% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 26.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, March 4 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, February 26 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-2 Bayern
Saturday, February 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-4 Bayern
Sunday, February 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PSG 4-2 Nantes
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-3 Lille
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Bayern
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Monaco 3-1 PSG
Saturday, February 11 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-1 PSG
Wednesday, February 8 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France


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