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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
A

Lens
3 - 0
Angers

Fofana (26'), Openda (30', 46')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Clermont 0-4 Lens
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 3-0 Angers

The Stade Bollaert-Delelis is not quite the fortress it once was for Lens earlier in the campaign, but they should encounter few obstacles en route to a comfortable win this weekend. With Angers mired in turmoil on and off the field, a reignited Openda can feast alongside his Champions League-chasing teammates, and keeping the scoreline respectable should be the visitors' primary goal here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Angers had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
LensDrawAngers
69.37% (-0.157 -0.16) 18.56% (0.067 0.07) 12.07% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.06% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.74% (-0.07 -0.07)43.26% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (-0.07 -0.07)65.65% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)11.33% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.99% (-0.13399999999999 -0.13)36.01% (0.137 0.14)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.21% (0.11000000000001 0.11)45.79% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.44% (0.085000000000001 0.09)81.56% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lens 69.37%
    Angers 12.07%
    Draw 18.56%
LensDrawAngers
2-0 @ 12.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.86% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 69.37%
1-1 @ 8.83% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.19% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 18.56%
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 3.45% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 12.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Clermont 0-4 Lens
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 Lille
Saturday, March 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Lens
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Lens
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, February 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lens
Sunday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 0-2 Toulouse
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 5-0 Angers
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-3 Lyon
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Angers
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-1 Auxerre
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-1 Nantes (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France


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