SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
70.19% ( 0.21) | 17.26% ( -0.13) | 12.55% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.16% ( 0.42) | 35.84% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.08% ( 0.46) | 57.92% ( -0.46) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.87% ( 0.16) | 9.13% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.01% ( 0.38) | 30.99% ( -0.38) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.82% ( 0.15) | 40.18% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.18% ( 0.14) | 76.82% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
| 2-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.58% Total : 70.19% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.26% | 1-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 12.55% |
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