SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 17.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
62.64% ( 0.53) | 20.26% ( 0.18) | 17.1% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( -2.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.86% ( -2.09) | 40.13% ( 2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( -2.19) | 62.5% ( 2.19) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( -0.49) | 12.25% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.03% ( -1.03) | 37.97% ( 1.03) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.19% ( -2.07) | 36.8% ( 2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.41% ( -2.12) | 73.59% ( 2.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.72)3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 62.64% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.42)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.1% |
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